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Bitcoin Price Forecast: Here’s what needs to happen for BTC to hit $50,000 – FXStreet

all41author 11 months ago 0 0

Akash Girimath Akash Girimath
FXStreet

Bitcoin (BTC) price shot up 3% on Monday but has since undone most of the gains and currently trades around $42,762. But a few things need to happen before BTC shows its bullish hand and resumes the uptrend. 
Also read: Week Ahead: Bitcoin price likely to support these altcoin narratives this week
Bitcoin price created the Monday’s range, extending from $41,807 to $43,324. The most common trade idea is to short BTC after a sweep of Monday’s high and book profits at Monday’s low. 
Read more: Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: As monthly close draws near, significance of $43,750 grows
Here are a few key levels to watch if one is in this trade.
In addition to these levels, the daily imbalance, extending from $41,396 to $40,288, is also a key area to watch. Imbalances or gaps are formed when the asset moves rapidly up or down due to inefficient order flow. These gaps are often revisited by the asset to rebalance and serve as support or resistance, depending on the type of imbalance.
In BTC’s case, the imbalance was formed due to a spike in buying pressure, so a retracement into this area will be a good place for sidelined buyers to open a long position. 
While this short-term play shows promise of a quick upside, investors need to be mindful of the big picture as well. As mentioned in a previous publication, Bitcoin price needs to produce a daily candlestick close above $48,222 to sustain the uptrend outlook.
Supporting the bullish outlook are the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Awesome Oscillator (AO) momentum indicators. The RSI has overcome the 50 mean level and is retesting it as a support, which is a bullish indication. The AO is close to flipping above the zero level, which shows a shift in momentum favoring bulls. 
In such a case, Bitcoin price could easily overcome the $48,222 level and potentially retest the $50,000 psychological level. 
BTC/USDT 1-day chart
BTC/USDT 1-day chart
However, a potential spike in selling pressure that pushes Bitcoin price to slice through the $41,396 to $40,288 imbalance would denote a weak bullish camp. If this trend continues and leads to the production of a daily candlestick close below $39,851, it would produce a lower low and invalidate the bullish thesis for BTC.
In such a case, a steeper correction could be anticipated by investors, as pointed out in a previous publication. The $34,067 and $32,293 support levels will be where the Bitcoin price would likely consolidate and rethink a bounce.
Read more: Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: Will BTC correct to $35k or continue bull run without steep corrections?

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The Office of the Privacy Commissioner of Hong Kong has investigated Sam Altman’s Worldcoin project’s six office locations. The independent body alleged “serious personal data privacy risks,” and warned users to remain vigilant about the Worldcoin project. 
Bitcoin has observed a decline in its social volume and dominance as seen on the on-chain metric provider Santiment. A decline in social volume indicates that market participants are discussing “Bitcoin” relatively less, and discussions of other altcoins are taking precedence. 
Bitcoin’s (BTC) price is recovering this week, trading shy of the $43,000 level on Wednesday’s European morning, after its recent drop to $38,555. Outflows from Grayscale’s GBTC have slowed down this week, easing the selling pressure for Bitcoin and likely catalyzing its recent recovery. 
Ethereum network’s next major upgrade after its Merge is Dencun. The upgrade will implement several Ethereum Improvement Proposals, the most notable of which is EIP-4844. The improvement proposal, better known as protodanksharding, will reduce transaction costs for Layer 2 chains. 
Bitcoin currently trades around $41,094 after dropping 4.60% on Thursday, putting an end to the $2,000 trading range. This move comes after Adam from GeeksLive noted that the volatility level of BTC dropped to a new low in a month.
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