Bitcoin price recovers as on-chain metrics point at potential BTC rally – FXStreet

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Ekta Mourya Ekta Mourya
FXStreet

Bitcoin (BTC) price tested resistance at $43,000 on Friday, recovering from declines earlier this week, in a sign of increasing buying pressure after a choppy week. Some of the asset’s on-chain metrics support the thesis of further price gains ahead, although Bitcoin price has been moving broadly sideways for the last two months.
Also read: Bitcoin price scenarios to consider with approaching BTC halving event
BTC
Whale transaction count and Network Realized Profit/Loss. Source: Santiment 
BTC Social dominance
BTC Social dominance and price. Source: Santiment 
BTC
Inflows to BTC ETFs for 14 consecutive days. Source: Bloomberg Intelligence
Akash Girimath, technical analyst at FXStreet, notes that Bitcoin price shows no signs of a directional bias in the short-term, the asset is trading around the $43,000 level. Girimath argues that on-chain metrics show clear bullish signs, and that BTC could potentially kick-start a bull run. 
Girimath says two scenarios could play out. In the first case, Bitcoin price uptrend could continue after January’s swing low at $38,505. Alternatively, Bitcoin price could correct to the $34,000 level. The analyst notes that traders are expecting a correction that flushes out late long positions and pushes BTC to the $34,000 to $35,000 region. But this correction is highly unlikely, he said. 
On the daily timeframe, if Bitcoin price dips into the daily imbalance zone between $41,396 to $40,278, its reaction to the $40,000 region could determine where BTC is headed next. Strong buying pressure has the potential to push Bitcoin to a higher high above $44,000, a moderate buy signal for traders. 
BTC
BTC/USD 1-day chart 
Token launches like Arbitrum’s ARB airdrop and Optimism OP influence demand and adoption among market participants. Listings on crypto exchanges deepen the liquidity for an asset and add new participants to an asset’s network. This is typically bullish for a digital asset.
A hack is an event in which an attacker captures a large volume of the asset from a DeFi bridge or hot wallet of an exchange or any other crypto platform via exploits, bugs or other methods. The exploiter then transfers these tokens out of the exchange platforms to ultimately sell or swap the assets for other cryptocurrencies or stablecoins. Such events often involve an en masse panic triggering a sell-off in the affected assets.
Macroeconomic events like the US Federal Reserve’s decision on interest rates influence risk assets like Bitcoin, mainly through the direct impact they have on the US Dollar. An increase in interest rate typically negatively influences Bitcoin and altcoin prices, and vice versa. If the US Dollar index declines, risk assets and associated leverage for trading gets cheaper, in turn driving crypto prices higher.
Halvings are typically considered bullish events as they slash the block reward in half for miners, constricting the supply of the asset. At consistent demand if the supply reduces, the asset’s price climbs. This has been observed in Bitcoin and Litecoin.

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Crypto research firm Chainalysis recently concluded research on “pump and dump” schemes that have plagued the crypto ecosystem. Pump and dumps have made a resurgence with rug pulls on Coinbase’s Base chain and Solana ecosystem’s meme coins. 
AAVE price declined in the past week and a further correction is likely, according to on-chain metrics. Two key metrics, the supply of AAVE on exchange wallets and the Network Realized Profit/Loss metric paints a bearish picture for the DeFi token. 
Bitcoin price tests resistance at $43,000, recovering from a week-long slump. Bitcoin on-chain metrics signal a likelihood of a BTC price rally. BTC profit-taking by whales has declined, paving the way for extended price gains. 
Solana ecosystem’s meme coins are hit by a correction on Friday after posting massive weekly gains. Solana-based meme coins garnered interest from large wallet addresses in January, with big wallets booking millions of dollars in profits trading tokens like Dogwifhat (WIF). 
Bitcoin (BTC) price shows no signs of directional bias in the short term as it trades around $43,000. But the on-chain metrics reveal a clear bullish signal that could potentially kick-start the bull run. 
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